Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ronald Jones II
Ronald Jones II

Player breakdown

Ronald Jones II

USC · 2018 Draft Class

5-11205 lbs2nd round, 38th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~29
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

82%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2018TAM923441733077
2019TAM1617272463130901,033
2020TAM1419297872816511,143
2021TAM16101428410640492
2022KAN617701122092
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2015USCBig Ten01459408627967
2016USCBig Ten71571,027119731,100
2017USCBig Ten112421,48618141871,673

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

82%

ML model output

Context Prob

82%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.65s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 89.2 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227

Top Negative Factors

8.16 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.318
Physical upside: 0.86 — elite athletic ceiling-0.300
29 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)