Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ronnie Brown
Ronnie Brown

Player breakdown

Ronnie Brown

Auburn · 2005 Draft Class

6-0233 lbs1st round, 2nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~44
EliteAll-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

87%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2005MIA1520790743223211,139
2006MIA132411,00853327601,284
2007MIA71196024393891991
2008MIA16214916103325401,170
2009MIA9147648814980746
2010MIA162007345332420976
2011PHI16421361000136
2012SDG14462200493710591
2013SDG164515718600217
2014SDG714590439098
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003AuburnSEC11954695881550
2004AuburnSEC81398458343131,158

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

84%

ML model output

Context Prob

84%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
Conference-adjusted speed score: 121.0 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.43s forty — average speed+0.395

Top Negative Factors

4.08s short shuttle — elite lateral quickness-0.665
42 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)