Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ronnie Hillman
Ronnie Hillman

Player breakdown

Ronnie Hillman

San Diego St. · 2012 Draft Class

5-9200 lbs3rd round, 67th overallAge at Draft: 20Age: ~34
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

74%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2012DEN1485330110620392
2013DEN10552181121190337
2014DEN81064343211391573
2015DEN162078637241110974
2016SDG3238103500131
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2010San Diego StateMountain West92341,304147521,356
2011San Diego StateMountain West82871,65619202211,877

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

74%

ML model output

Context Prob

74%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1,616 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.42s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 87.5 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

9.38 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
27 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Rb rush share of scrimmage-0.182

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)