Player breakdown
Roschon Johnson
Texas · 2023 Draft Class
6-0219 lbs4th round, 115th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
64%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | CHI | 15 | 81 | 352 | 2 | 34 | 209 | 0 | 561 |
| 2024 | CHI | 14 | 55 | 150 | 6 | 16 | 104 | 0 | 254 |
| 2025 | CHI | 7 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Texas | SEC | 6 | 117 | 600 | 7 | 23 | 158 | 758 |
| 2020 | Texas | SEC | 0 | 80 | 418 | 6 | 8 | 51 | 469 |
| 2021 | Texas | SEC | 0 | 96 | 569 | 5 | 11 | 83 | 652 |
| 2022 | Texas | SEC | 12 | 93 | 554 | 5 | 14 | 128 | 682 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
64%
ML model output
Context Prob
64%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.58s forty — slow speed+0.395
3.46 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Catch radius: 87.8 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
Top Negative Factors
56 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output-0.174