Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Roy Helu
Roy Helu

Player breakdown

Roy Helu

Nebraska · 2011 Draft Class

5-11219 lbs4th round, 105th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~37
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

75%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2011WAS1515164024937911,019
2012WAS3220745047
2013WAS16622744312510525
2014WAS14402161424772693
2015OAK9173909751114
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2007NebraskaBig Ten0452090540249
2008NebraskaBig Ten51208047252661,070
2009NebraskaBig Ten52201,1479191491,296
2010NebraskaBig Ten81771,211115461,257

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

75%

ML model output

Context Prob

75%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 116.9 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.40s forty — average speed+0.395
Physical upside: 0.98 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381

Top Negative Factors

4.01s short shuttle — elite lateral quickness-0.665
54 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
5 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.241

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)