Player breakdown
Royce Freeman
Oregon · 2018 Draft Class
5-11229 lbs3rd round, 71st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
77%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | DEN | 14 | 130 | 521 | 5 | 14 | 72 | 0 | 593 |
| 2019 | DEN | 16 | 132 | 496 | 3 | 43 | 256 | 1 | 752 |
| 2020 | DEN | 16 | 35 | 170 | 0 | 12 | 81 | 0 | 251 |
| 2021 | HOU | 7 | 35 | 92 | 0 | 7 | 62 | 0 | 154 |
| 2022 | HOU | 4 | 41 | 117 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 0 | 150 |
| 2023 | LAR | 14 | 77 | 319 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 332 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Oregon | Big Ten | 10 | 230 | 1,299 | 16 | 14 | 139 | 1,438 |
| 2015 | Oregon | Big Ten | 0 | 257 | 1,706 | 14 | 24 | 325 | 2,031 |
| 2016 | Oregon | Big Ten | 6 | 168 | 945 | 9 | 23 | 144 | 1,089 |
| 2017 | Oregon | Big Ten | 6 | 244 | 1,475 | 16 | 14 | 164 | 1,639 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
77%
ML model output
Context Prob
77%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Conference-adjusted speed score: 107.8 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
1,549 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.54s forty — average speed+0.395
Top Negative Factors
4.16s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
8.87 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
75 career receptions — limited volume-0.278