Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ryan Moats
Ryan Moats

Player breakdown

Ryan Moats

Louisiana Tech · 2005 Draft Class

5-8210 lbs3rd round, 77th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~43
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

28%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2005PHI7552783470285
2006PHI82269000069
2008HOU9269413140108
2009HOU141013904131061496
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003Louisiana TechConference USA324220015225
2004Louisiana TechConference USA102881,77418151161,890

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

28%

ML model output

Context Prob

28%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.46s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227

Top Negative Factors

4.10s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
9.00 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)