Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ryan Torain
Ryan Torain

Player breakdown

Ryan Torain

Arizona St. · 2008 Draft Class

6-0222 lbs5th round, 139th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

35%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2008DEN21569100069
2010WAS101647424181252867
2011WAS85920016230223
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2006Arizona StateBig 1272051,0696161771,246
2007Arizona StateBig 12311055357100653

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

35%

ML model output

Context Prob

35%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.61s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 89.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
16 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
23 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)