Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ryan Williams
Ryan Williams

Player breakdown

Ryan Williams

Virginia Tech · 2011 Draft Class

5-9212 lbs2nd round, 38th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~36
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

44%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2012ARI55816407440208
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2009Virginia TechACC02931,65521161801,835
2010Virginia TechACC6106473910109582

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

44%

ML model output

Context Prob

44%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.59s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 89.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
32 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

4.18s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
8.66 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
26 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)