Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ryquell Armstead
Ryquell Armstead

Player breakdown

Ryquell Armstead

Temple · 2019 Draft Class

5-11220 lbs5th round, 140th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

17%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2019JAX16351080141442252
2021JAX215800316096
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2015TempleAmerican Athletic043166227173
2016TempleAmerican Athletic914991814434952
2017TempleAmerican Athletic314155341264617
2018TempleAmerican Athletic52101,098138521,150

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

17%

ML model output

Context Prob

17%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.45s forty — average speed+0.395
Physical upside: 0.96 — elite athletic ceiling+0.359
56.7 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.325

Top Negative Factors

4.29s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)