Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Samaje Perine
Samaje Perine

Player breakdown

Samaje Perine

Oklahoma · 2017 Draft Class

5-11233 lbs4th round, 114th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~30
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

57%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2017WAS161756031221821785
2018WAS5832035037
2019MIA1516000016
2020CIN1663301311660367
2021CIN16552461271961442
2022CIN16953942382874681
2023DEN17532381504550693
2024KAN1720921283221414
2025CIN1584382317870469
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2014OklahomaSEC92401,5792112861,665
2015OklahomaSEC02111,2911513841,375
2016OklahomaSEC717997411101061,080

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

57%

ML model output

Context Prob

57%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.65s forty — slow speed+0.395
1,373 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.351
Catch radius: 87.5 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.37s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
7.15 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318
35 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)