Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Shaun Chapas
Shaun Chapas

Player breakdown

Shaun Chapas

Georgia · 2011 Draft Class

7th round, 220th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~38
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2011DAL30001909
2012DET30001606
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2007GeorgiaSEC01141032263
2008GeorgiaSEC072509120145
2009GeorgiaSEC0745195095
2010GeorgiaSEC01544252973

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

7%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
7 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
3 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)