Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Sire Gaines
Sire Gaines

Player breakdown

Sire Gaines

Boise State · 2026 Draft Class

6-0193 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

11%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2025Boise StateMountain West1415476351176839

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

11%

ML model output

Context Prob

11%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

51.9 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.35 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
5 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)