Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Stepfan Taylor
Stepfan Taylor

Player breakdown

Stepfan Taylor

Stanford · 2013 Draft Class

5-9214 lbs5th round, 140th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

25%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2013ARI163611508710186
2014ARI1463208111793287
2015ARI161758014062
2016ARI15412000012
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2009StanfordACC2563032343346
2010StanfordACC02101,02315262591,282
2011StanfordACC72071,1538221611,314
2012StanfordACC93221,53013412871,817

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

25%

ML model output

Context Prob

25%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.76s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 84.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
43 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

4.50s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
3 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
8.49 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.339

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)