Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Stevan Ridley
Stevan Ridley

Player breakdown

Stevan Ridley

LSU · 2011 Draft Class

5-11225 lbs3rd round, 73rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~37
Low1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

22%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2011NWE168744113130454
2012NWE162901,2631265101,314
2013NWE14178773710620835
2014NWE69434024200360
2015NYJ8369004-2088
2016ATL13700007
2017PIT2261081000108
2018PIT1029801318098
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2008LSUSEC1129210092
2009LSUSEC2451803633213
2010LSUSEC92251,0421411611,103

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

22%

ML model output

Context Prob

22%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.65s forty — slow speed+0.395
4.90 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.295
Catch radius: 89.0 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.21s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)