Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Steve Chavez-Soto
Steve Chavez-Soto

Player breakdown

Steve Chavez-Soto

San José State · 2026 Draft Class

Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

3%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2025San José StateMountain West8824093319428

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

3%

ML model output

Context Prob

3%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

46.4 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
3 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush td rate-0.411
3 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)