Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Steve Slaton
Steve Slaton

Player breakdown

Steve Slaton

West Virginia · 2008 Draft Class

5-9197 lbs3rd round, 89th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

88%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2008HOU162681,28295037711,659
2009HOU111314373444174854
2010HOU12199303110104
2011MIA3176412-3061
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2005West VirginiaBig 1261799241411871,011
2006West VirginiaBig 12102451,73316253402,073
2007West VirginiaBig 1202101,05317253481,401

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

88%

ML model output

Context Prob

88%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1,495 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.45s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 85.8 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

10.52 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
61 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
336.4 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.223

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)