Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Steven Jackson
Steven Jackson

Player breakdown

Steven Jackson

Oregon St. · 2004 Draft Class

6-1241 lbs1st round, 24th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~43
EliteAll-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

88%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2004STL141346734191890862
2005STL152541,04684332021,366
2006STL163461,528139080632,334
2007STL122371,00253827111,273
2008STL122531,04274037911,421
2009STL153241,41645132201,738
2010STL163301,24164638301,624
2011STL152601,14554233311,478
2012STL162581,04543832101,366
2013ATL121575436331911734
2014ATL151907076201480855
2015NWE221501120070
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003Oregon StatePac-12133501,61619434902,106

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

85%

ML model output

Context Prob

85%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
2,106 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.55s forty — slow speed+0.395

Top Negative Factors

8.74 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)