Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Storm Johnson
Storm Johnson

Player breakdown

Storm Johnson

Central Florida · 2014 Draft Class

6-0209 lbs7th round, 222nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~34
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

41%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2014JAX6298621-4082
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2010MiamiACC079910099
2012UCFBig 12311350741020527
2013UCFBig 1271931,01511292611,276

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

41%

ML model output

Context Prob

41%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.60s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 89.8 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
18 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324
39 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)