Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tank Bigsby
Tank Bigsby

Player breakdown

Tank Bigsby

Auburn · 2023 Draft Class

6-0210 lbs3rd round, 88th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

46%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2023JAX17501322160138
2024JAX1616876677540820
2025PHI165834423320376
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2020AuburnSEC013883451184918
2021AuburnSEC72071,00310161161,119
2022AuburnSEC017997010301801,150

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

46%

ML model output

Context Prob

46%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.56s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 88.2 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
25 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324
57 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
607.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.264

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)