Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tashard Choice
Tashard Choice

Player breakdown

Tashard Choice

Georgia Tech · 2008 Draft Class

5-10215 lbs4th round, 122nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

39%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2008DAL16924722211850657
2009DAL16643493151320481
2010DAL16662433171090352
2011BUF6237017510121
2012BUF12471931490202
2013IND31144015049
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2004OklahomaSEC022100017107
2005Georgia TechACC411651261245557
2006Georgia TechACC82701,30498701,374
2007Georgia TechACC82491,31010121011,411

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

39%

ML model output

Context Prob

39%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.48s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 87.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
25 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)