Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tatum Bell
Tatum Bell

Player breakdown

Tatum Bell

Oklahoma St. · 2004 Draft Class

5-11212 lbs2nd round, 41st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~45
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

94%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2004DEN147539635800476
2005DEN1517392181810401,025
2006DEN132331,02522411501,140
2007DET544182114630245
2008DEN744249210570306
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003Oklahoma StateBig 12112071,2921510671,359

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

94%

ML model output

Context Prob

94%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.37s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Physical upside: 0.96 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381
1,359 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.351

Top Negative Factors

10 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Rb best season rush share-0.220
Rb rush share of scrimmage-0.182

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)