Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Telly Johnson Jr.
Telly Johnson Jr.

Player breakdown

Telly Johnson Jr.

Northern Illinois · 2026 Draft Class

6-0215 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

12%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2025Northern IllinoisMid-American1212264321591734

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

12%

ML model output

Context Prob

12%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

20.4 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
3.41 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
2 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)