
Player breakdown
Telly Johnson Jr.
Northern Illinois · 2027 Draft Class
6-0215 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
12%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | 12 | 122 | 643 | 2 | 15 | 91 | 734 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
12%
ML model output
Context Prob
12%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
20.4 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
3.41 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
2 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324