Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tevin Coleman
Tevin Coleman

Player breakdown

Tevin Coleman

Indiana · 2015 Draft Class

5-11206 lbs3rd round, 73rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~33
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

83%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2015ATL128739212140406
2016ATL131185208314213941
2017ATL151566285272993927
2018ATL1616780043227651,076
2019SFO141375446211801724
2020SFO828530434087
2021NYJ1184356011490405
2022SFO512261344170
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2012IndianaBig Ten05122511049274
2013IndianaBig Ten013195812191931,151
2014IndianaBig Ten82702,03615251412,177

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

83%

ML model output

Context Prob

83%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Conference-adjusted speed score: 109.9 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.40s forty — average speed+0.395
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227

Top Negative Factors

10.57 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
54 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
600.3 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.264

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)