Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Theo Riddick
Theo Riddick

Player breakdown

Theo Riddick

Notre Dame · 2013 Draft Class

5-10201 lbs6th round, 199th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

37%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2013DET149251426051
2014DET1420510343164367
2015DET16431330806973830
2016DET10923571533715728
2017DET16842863534442730
2018DET14401710613840555
2020LVR46140543057
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2009Notre DameFBS Independents0291600643203
2010Notre DameFBS Independents000039412412
2011Notre DameFBS Independents0627036429456
2012Notre DameFBS Independents51909175363701,287

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

37%

ML model output

Context Prob

37%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.68s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
13 career TDs — solid scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Physical upside: 0.84 — elite athletic ceiling-0.300

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)