Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Thomas Brown
Thomas Brown

Player breakdown

Thomas Brown

Georgia · 2008 Draft Class

5-8204 lbs6th round, 172nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

34%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2004GeorgiaSEC0156764712106870
2005GeorgiaSEC01386583445703
2006GeorgiaSEC0622561771327
2007GeorgiaSEC012970691084790

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

34%

ML model output

Context Prob

34%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.51s forty — average speed+0.395
4.26 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)