Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tim Hightower
Tim Hightower

Player breakdown

Tim Hightower

Richmond · 2008 Draft Class

5th round, 149th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
Low1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

30%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2008ARI1614339910342370636
2009ARI1614359886342801,026
2010ARI161537365211360872
2011WAS584321110781399
2015NOR8963754121290504
2016NOR161335484222001748
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2004RichmondCAA058161019158319
2005RichmondCAA6142777921163940
2006RichmondCAA41778505342691,119
2007RichmondCAA123271,92420322282,152

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

30%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
68.6 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.325
39 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
BMI 0.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR-0.284

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)