Predicting the Pros
Predictions/T.J. Logan
T.J. Logan

Player breakdown

T.J. Logan

North Carolina · 2017 Draft Class

5-9196 lbs5th round, 179th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~32
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

67%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2013North CarolinaACC07845649120576
2014North CarolinaACC0105472323137609
2015North CarolinaACC061368511151519
2016North CarolinaACC0101578727241819

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

67%

ML model output

Context Prob

67%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.37s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
4.18 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360

Top Negative Factors

70 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229
0.33 TDs/catch — primary red-zone usage pattern-0.196

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)