Player breakdown
Todd Gurley
Georgia · 2015 Draft Class
6-1222 lbs1st round, 10th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~32
EliteAll-American x1All-Conference x11000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
95%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | STL | 13 | 229 | 1,106 | 10 | 21 | 188 | 0 | 1,294 |
| 2016 | LAR | 16 | 278 | 885 | 6 | 43 | 327 | 0 | 1,212 |
| 2017 | LAR | 15 | 279 | 1,305 | 13 | 64 | 788 | 6 | 2,093 |
| 2018 | LAR | 14 | 256 | 1,251 | 17 | 59 | 580 | 4 | 1,831 |
| 2019 | LAR | 15 | 223 | 857 | 12 | 31 | 207 | 2 | 1,064 |
| 2020 | ATL | 15 | 195 | 678 | 9 | 25 | 164 | 0 | 842 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | Georgia | SEC | 0 | 222 | 1,385 | 17 | 16 | 117 | 1,502 |
| 2013 | Georgia | SEC | 8 | 144 | 903 | 10 | 30 | 344 | 1,247 |
| 2014 | Georgia | SEC | 0 | 123 | 911 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 968 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
95%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1 All-Conference selection — proven conference-level excellence+0.494
Conference-adjusted speed score: 106.4 — speed measured against quality competition+0.462
4.52s forty — average speed+0.395
Top Negative Factors
58 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
619.5 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.264
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.144