Player breakdown
Tony Pollard
Memphis · 2019 Draft Class
6-0210 lbs4th round, 128th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~29
Elite1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
82%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | DAL | 15 | 86 | 455 | 2 | 15 | 107 | 1 | 562 |
| 2020 | DAL | 16 | 101 | 435 | 4 | 28 | 193 | 1 | 628 |
| 2021 | DAL | 15 | 130 | 719 | 2 | 39 | 337 | 0 | 1,056 |
| 2022 | DAL | 16 | 193 | 1,007 | 9 | 39 | 371 | 3 | 1,378 |
| 2023 | DAL | 17 | 252 | 1,005 | 6 | 55 | 311 | 0 | 1,316 |
| 2024 | TEN | 16 | 260 | 1,079 | 5 | 41 | 238 | 0 | 1,317 |
| 2025 | TEN | 17 | 242 | 1,082 | 5 | 33 | 206 | 0 | 1,288 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Memphis | American Athletic | 0 | 29 | 154 | 1 | 25 | 217 | 371 |
| 2017 | Memphis | American Athletic | 0 | 29 | 222 | 2 | 34 | 501 | 723 |
| 2018 | Memphis | American Athletic | 0 | 61 | 443 | 5 | 39 | 458 | 901 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
82%
ML model output
Context Prob
82%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.52s forty — average speed+0.395
4.29 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Top Negative Factors
98 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229
0.16 TDs/catch — primary red-zone usage pattern-0.196