Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tre Mason
Tre Mason

Player breakdown

Tre Mason

Auburn · 2014 Draft Class

5-8207 lbs3rd round, 75th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~33
HighMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

60%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2014STL121797654161481913
2015STL1375207118880295
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2011AuburnSEC0199700097
2012AuburnSEC01711,00287861,088
2013AuburnSEC02831,62122111211,742

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

60%

ML model output

Context Prob

60%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.50s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 87.2 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.15s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
8.42 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.339
18 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)