Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Trestan Ebner
Trestan Ebner

Player breakdown

Trestan Ebner

Baylor · 2022 Draft Class

5-11206 lbs6th round, 203rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~27
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

54%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2022CHI172454028062
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2017BaylorBig 12023121220267388
2018BaylorBig 12056323026239562
2019BaylorBig 12048232317247479
2020BaylorBig 12050107126299406
2021BaylorBig 1201427632282841,047

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

54%

ML model output

Context Prob

54%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.43s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

Rb rush td rate-0.411
Rb rush yards per attempt-0.337
117 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)