Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Trey Benson
Trey Benson

Player breakdown

Trey Benson

Florida St. · 2024 Draft Class

6-0216 lbs3rd round, 66th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~24
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

86%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2024ARI136329116590350
2025ARI429160013640224
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2021OregonBig Ten162210022
2022Florida StateACC121419659121111,076
2023Florida StateACC1315690514202271,132

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

86%

ML model output

Context Prob

86%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.39s forty — elite sub-4.4 speed+0.395
Physical upside: 0.97 — elite athletic ceiling+0.381
Conference-adjusted speed score: 104.7 — speed measured against quality competition+0.280

Top Negative Factors

32 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.03 — variable output-0.174

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)