Player breakdown
Trey Sermon
Ohio St. · 2021 Draft Class
6-0215 lbs3rd round, 88th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~27
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
35%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | SFO | 9 | 41 | 167 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 193 |
| 2022 | PHI | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| 2023 | IND | 14 | 35 | 160 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 173 |
| 2024 | IND | 17 | 56 | 159 | 2 | 16 | 99 | 0 | 258 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Oklahoma | SEC | 6 | 119 | 710 | 5 | 16 | 139 | 849 |
| 2018 | Oklahoma | SEC | 8 | 155 | 928 | 12 | 12 | 181 | 1,109 |
| 2019 | Oklahoma | SEC | 3 | 54 | 385 | 4 | 8 | 71 | 456 |
| 2020 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 2 | 116 | 870 | 4 | 12 | 95 | 965 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
35%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.57s forty — slow speed+0.395
4.49 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.295
Catch radius: 90.5 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
Top Negative Factors
4.28s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
12 career receptions — limited volume-0.278