Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ty Chandler
Ty Chandler

Player breakdown

Ty Chandler

North Carolina · 2022 Draft Class

5th round, 169th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~28
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

51%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2022MIN3620000020
2023MIN171024613211590620
2024MIN175618206420224
2025MIN317470311058
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2017TennesseeSEC071305210108413
2018TennesseeSEC0115630419183813
2019TennesseeSEC012362031039659
2020TennesseeSEC4100456416111567
2021North CarolinaACC01731,06313142151,278

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

51%

ML model output

Context Prob

51%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.210

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
BMI 0.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR-0.284

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)