Player breakdown
Ty Johnson
Maryland · 2019 Draft Class
6-3180 lbs6th round, 186th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~28
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
13%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | DET | 16 | 63 | 273 | 0 | 24 | 109 | 0 | 382 |
| 2020 | NYJ | 11 | 54 | 254 | 1 | 16 | 99 | 1 | 353 |
| 2021 | NYJ | 16 | 61 | 238 | 2 | 34 | 372 | 2 | 610 |
| 2022 | NYJ | 17 | 30 | 160 | 1 | 12 | 88 | 0 | 248 |
| 2023 | BUF | 10 | 30 | 132 | 0 | 7 | 62 | 1 | 194 |
| 2024 | BUF | 17 | 41 | 213 | 1 | 18 | 284 | 3 | 497 |
| 2025 | BUF | 17 | 50 | 200 | 3 | 24 | 263 | 2 | 463 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Maryland | Big Ten | 0 | 35 | 250 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 280 |
| 2016 | Maryland | Big Ten | 0 | 95 | 845 | 4 | 14 | 191 | 1,036 |
| 2017 | Maryland | Big Ten | 0 | 137 | 875 | 5 | 5 | 60 | 935 |
| 2018 | Maryland | Big Ten | 0 | 66 | 506 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 528 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
13%
ML model output
Context Prob
13%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.360
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.300