Player breakdown
Tyjae Spears
Tulane · 2023 Draft Class
5-10201 lbs3rd round, 81st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
31%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | TEN | 17 | 100 | 453 | 2 | 52 | 385 | 1 | 838 |
| 2024 | TEN | 12 | 84 | 312 | 4 | 30 | 224 | 1 | 536 |
| 2025 | TEN | 13 | 72 | 283 | 2 | 45 | 264 | 0 | 547 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Tulane | American Athletic | 1 | 32 | 192 | 1 | 5 | 133 | 325 |
| 2020 | Tulane | American Athletic | 1 | 37 | 274 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 304 |
| 2021 | Tulane | American Athletic | 0 | 129 | 863 | 9 | 19 | 145 | 1,008 |
| 2022 | Tulane | American Athletic | 0 | 212 | 1,376 | 15 | 21 | 242 | 1,618 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
31%
ML model output
Context Prob
31%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Catch radius: 89.5 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227
30 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
8.05 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.318
Physical upside: 0.56 — average athletic ceiling-0.300