Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tyler Badie
Tyler Badie

Player breakdown

Tyler Badie

Missouri · 2022 Draft Class

5-8197 lbs6th round, 196th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~26
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

85%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2022DEN1100124124
2024DEN3118603-2084
2025DEN168230191410164
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2018MissouriSEC080407211125532
2019MissouriSEC0108457332356813
2020MissouriSEC048242428333575
2021MissouriSEC02681,60414543301,934

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

85%

ML model output

Context Prob

85%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.45s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 84.8 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

9.82 ypg per lb — exceptional size-adjusted production-0.360
125 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Physical upside: 0.88 — elite athletic ceiling-0.222

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)