Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tyler Gaffney
Tyler Gaffney

Player breakdown

Tyler Gaffney

Stanford · 2014 Draft Class

5-11220 lbs6th round, 204th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~35
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

19%

SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2009StanfordACC022871239126
2010StanfordACC5582454360305
2011StanfordACC07044571163508
2013StanfordACC123061,6182014881,706

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

19%

ML model output

Context Prob

19%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.49s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 89.2 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236
36 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

4.18s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
2 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
Rb scrimmage yards per touch-0.324

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)