Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Vernand Morency
Vernand Morency

Player breakdown

Vernand Morency

Oklahoma St. · 2005 Draft Class

5-10212 lbs3rd round, 73rd overallAge at Draft: 25Age: ~46
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

37%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2005HOU1246184210870271
2006GNB13914212161120533
2007GNB13291080301990307
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2003Oklahoma StateBig 12111349208421941
2004Oklahoma StateBig 1282501,4541251011,555

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

37%

ML model output

Context Prob

37%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.66s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.8 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227

Top Negative Factors

4.12s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
7.33 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318
9 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)