Player breakdown
Vick Ballard
Mississippi St. · 2012 Draft Class
5-10219 lbs5th round, 170th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
40%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | IND | 16 | 211 | 814 | 2 | 17 | 152 | 1 | 966 |
| 2013 | IND | 1 | 13 | 63 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 | 58 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Mississippi State | SEC | 9 | 166 | 892 | 16 | 8 | 95 | 987 |
| 2011 | Mississippi State | SEC | 5 | 179 | 1,009 | 8 | 18 | 178 | 1,187 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
40%
ML model output
Context Prob
40%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.59s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.5 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
26 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
4.19s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
26 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
Recruiting pedigree did not match production output-0.229