Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Wendell Smallwood
Wendell Smallwood

Player breakdown

Wendell Smallwood

West Virginia · 2016 Draft Class

5-10208 lbs5th round, 153rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~32
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

48%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2016PHI137731216550367
2017PHI8471741131030277
2018PHI16873643282302594
2019WAS15228109640145
2021WAS35250422047
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2013West VirginiaBig 12039221111132353
2014West VirginiaBig 120140645230321966
2015West VirginiaBig 1202251,4479231551,602

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

48%

ML model output

Context Prob

48%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.47s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 86.8 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

4.28s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
Rb rush td rate-0.411
7.70 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)