Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Will Shipley
Will Shipley

Player breakdown

Will Shipley

Clemson · 2024 Draft Class

5-11206 lbs4th round, 127th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~24
LowMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

25%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2024PHI16308204350117
2025PHI15144909560105
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2021ClemsonACC0131678101163741
2022ClemsonACC131931,11015342211,331
2023ClemsonACC111567985292351,033

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

25%

ML model output

Context Prob

25%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

32 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Short shuttle not recorded at combine+0.175
6.46 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production+0.152

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.57 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
74 career receptions — limited volume-0.278

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)