Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Woody Marks
Woody Marks

Player breakdown

Woody Marks

USC · 2025 Draft Class

5-10207 lbs4th round, 116th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~25
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

82%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2025HOU161967032242083911
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2020Mississippi StateSEC270312360268580
2021Mississippi StateSEC0101397679464861
2022Mississippi StateSEC0103532945274806
2023Mississippi StateSEC9121573423167740
2024USCBig Ten121981,1339473211,454

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

82%

ML model output

Context Prob

82%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.54s forty — average speed+0.395
1,454 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.376
Catch radius: 87.5 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

47 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
7.02 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.259
0.19 TDs/catch — primary red-zone usage pattern-0.196

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)