Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Zac Stacy
Zac Stacy

Player breakdown

Zac Stacy

Vanderbilt · 2013 Draft Class

5-8216 lbs5th round, 160th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
High1000+ Scrimmage
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

69%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2013STL1425097372614111,114
2014STL13762931181520445
2015NYJ8318919650154
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2009VanderbiltSEC01074783772550
2010VanderbiltSEC0663313932363
2011VanderbiltSEC71831,1361318951,231
2012VanderbiltSEC02071,14110102051,346

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

69%

ML model output

Context Prob

69%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.55s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 84.5 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
29 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188

Top Negative Factors

4.17s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
44 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
664.8 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.264

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)