Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Zach Charbonnet
Zach Charbonnet

Player breakdown

Zach Charbonnet

UCLA · 2023 Draft Class

6-0214 lbs2nd round, 52nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
EliteMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

92%

YearTeamGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDScrim Yds
2023SEA161084621332090671
2024SEA171355698423401909
2025SEA1618473012201440874
SeasonTeamConfGRush AttRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsScrim Yds
2019MichiganBig Ten613664211830672
2020MichiganBig Ten1191241641165
2021UCLABig Ten82021,13713241971,334
2022UCLABig Ten01951,35914373211,680

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

92%

ML model output

Context Prob

92%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.268

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

1,507 avg yards/season — elite per-season output+0.396
4.53s forty — average speed+0.395
Catch radius: 90.5 — strong physical reach envelope+0.236

Top Negative Factors

7.85 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318
61 career receptions — limited volume-0.278
502.3 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.264

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)