Player breakdown
Zach Evans
Mississippi · 2023 Draft Class
5-11202 lbs6th round, 215th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
40%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | LAR | 10 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | TCU | Big 12 | 3 | 54 | 415 | 4 | 8 | 76 | 491 |
| 2021 | TCU | Big 12 | 5 | 92 | 648 | 5 | 10 | 130 | 778 |
| 2022 | Ole Miss | SEC | 0 | 136 | 899 | 8 | 8 | 93 | 992 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
40%
ML model output
Context Prob
40%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
0.0 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison+0.429
4.91 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.295
Rb rush yards per attempt+0.227
Top Negative Factors
No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.483
Physical upside: 0.56 — average athletic ceiling-0.300
8 career receptions — limited volume-0.278