Player breakdown
Zack Moss
Utah · 2020 Draft Class
5-9223 lbs3rd round, 86th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
MediumMissed 1000+ Scrim
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
53%
| Year | Team | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | BUF | 13 | 112 | 481 | 4 | 14 | 95 | 1 | 576 |
| 2021 | BUF | 13 | 96 | 345 | 4 | 23 | 197 | 1 | 542 |
| 2022 | IND | 8 | 76 | 365 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 377 |
| 2023 | IND | 14 | 183 | 794 | 5 | 27 | 192 | 2 | 986 |
| 2024 | CIN | 8 | 74 | 242 | 2 | 23 | 187 | 1 | 429 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rush Att | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Scrim Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Utah | Big 12 | 2 | 78 | 363 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 367 |
| 2017 | Utah | Big 12 | 6 | 194 | 1,023 | 9 | 28 | 234 | 1,257 |
| 2018 | Utah | Big 12 | 8 | 179 | 1,092 | 11 | 8 | 50 | 1,142 |
| 2019 | Utah | Big 12 | 11 | 219 | 1,359 | 15 | 26 | 374 | 1,733 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
53%
ML model output
Context Prob
53%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.268
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.65s forty — slow speed+0.395
Catch radius: 85.5 — limited physical reach envelope+0.236
40 career TDs — prolific scoring production+0.188
Top Negative Factors
4.37s short shuttle — average lateral quickness-0.665
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart-0.364
7.77 ypg per lb — strong size-adjusted production-0.318