Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Albert Okwuegbunam
Albert Okwuegbunam

Player breakdown

Albert Okwuegbunam

Missouri · 2020 Draft Class

6-5258 lbs4th round, 118th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

18%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2020DEN40151112111130.3
2021DEN146403333010223.6
2022DEN811810959.5111.9
2023PHI40100000
2025LVR1065367.2036
Career31780595829.9418.8
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2017MissouriSEC825372014.946.5
2018MissouriSEC94246201151.3
2019MissouriSEC926306011.834
Career26931,140012.343.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

18%

ML model output

Context Prob

18%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.261
Efficiency consistency: 1.21 — highly consistent across seasons+0.228
-46.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.181

Top Negative Factors

46.5 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.439
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.397
Speed × production: 58.7 — average combined athletic output-0.375

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)